TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13070756
Played Sep 3Finished
Vasyl Matviichuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113118118117––
Viktor Hyriavyi
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7
80 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 49–33 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 33 of their 82 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Matviichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyriavyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 1.53 / Hyriavyi 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Matviichuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13070756
Matviichuk1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it82% 58 of 71
Hyriavyi2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 27 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMatviichuk6wins
AwayHyriavyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatviichuk75%6 of 8
AwayHyriavyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matviichuk8Hyriavyi2n = 10Matviichuk took 8 of 10
S2Matviichuk5Hyriavyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Matviichuk3Hyriavyi7n = 10Hyriavyi took 7 of 10
S4Matviichuk5Hyriavyi2n = 7Matviichuk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMatviichukHyriavyiM − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.532.2+6.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 619 vs 111 / 35247.2%31.5%292 / 619 vs 111 / 352Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.932.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukMatviichuk 1.53/Hyriavyi 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 05:30V. Matviichuk—119841V. Hyriavyi—61111113
WAug 31 · 07:00V. Matviichuk—111110113V. Hyriavyi—441231
LAug 19 · 10:29V. Matviichuk—89111172V. Hyriavyi—111159113
LAug 19 · 05:00V. Matviichuk—75130V. Hyriavyi—1111153
WAug 7 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—12119133V. Hyriavyi—10411111
WAug 3 · 10:28V. Matviichuk—119911113V. Hyriavyi—61111912
WAug 3 · 08:00V. Matviichuk—1111113V. Hyriavyi—3920
WJul 21 · 07:30V. Matviichuk—1211113V. Hyriavyi—10350
WJun 23 · 05:30V. Matviichuk—111110113V. Hyriavyi—391271
LJun 16 · 07:30V. Matviichuk—116791V. Hyriavyi—61111113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660LSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.505750WSep 3 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2561111113V. Matviichuk1.33119841LAug 31 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi2.63116141Y. Urezchenko1.4481111113
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