TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084116
Played Sep 6Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911118113––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 68.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 1–0 Vasyl Matviichuk Vasyl Matviichuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Matviichuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 957 vs Matviichuk 1049
Matviichuk
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 20% vs Matviichuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 10% vs Matviichuk 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -1 · Matviichuk -4
Matviichuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Matviichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 3.00 / Matviichuk 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Matviichuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084116
Zherykhin3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 11 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Matviichuk1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 75 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZherykhin1wins
AwayMatviichuk0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZherykhin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZherykhinMatviichukZ − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.046.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 65 vs 290 / 61529.2%47.2%19 / 65 vs 290 / 615Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukZherykhin 3.00/Matviichuk 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zherykhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 12 · 12:00S. Zherykhin—411115113V. Matviichuk—11871192
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741LSep 3 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.1311114113S. Zherykhin5.50671191
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871WSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100
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