TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066966
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.13
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117411119––
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
5.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 84.6%
70 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 7–0 Stanislav Zherykhin Stanislav Zherykhin has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Honcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-0 in 7
Honcharenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1331 vs Zherykhin 954
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 377 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 80% vs Zherykhin 0%
Honcharenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 80% vs Zherykhin 10%
Honcharenko
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +2 · Zherykhin -5
Zherykhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Honcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (0%) is below what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.13 / Zherykhin 5.50
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Honcharenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066966
Honcharenko1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 93 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it84% 74 of 88
Zherykhin5.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 10 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHoncharenko7wins
AwayZherykhin0wins
Honcharenko leads 7–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko100%7 of 7
AwayZherykhinn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko7Zherykhin0n = 7Honcharenko took 7 of 7
S2Honcharenko6Zherykhin1n = 7Honcharenko took 6 of 7
S3Honcharenko6Zherykhin1n = 7Honcharenko took 6 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home571%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZherykhinH − ZBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match35.924.9+11.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 813 vs 18 / 6251.3%29%417 / 813 vs 18 / 62Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.834.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.13/Zherykhin 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 3 · 05:00S. Honcharenko—11114113S. Zherykhin—671191
WSep 1 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1111113S. Zherykhin—2270
WJul 19 · 14:00S. Honcharenko—1111133S. Zherykhin—88110
WJun 13 · 16:00S. Honcharenko—1111113S. Zherykhin—7360
WJun 7 · 10:28S. Honcharenko—1111113S. Zherykhin—9960
WJun 7 · 09:30S. Honcharenko—11811113S. Zherykhin—711991
WJun 5 · 05:00S. Honcharenko—1411143S. Zherykhin—123120
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871WSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
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