TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066744
Played Sep 3Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210117114––
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 85.5% is still 85.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
85.5%
85.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 85.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 4–1 Stanislav Zherykhin Stanislav Zherykhin has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1315 vs Zherykhin 957
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 358 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 20% vs Zherykhin 0%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 50% vs Zherykhin 10%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi +1 · Zherykhin -5
Zherykhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (0%) is below what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.10 / Zherykhin 6.50
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066744
Zvolynskyi1.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 91 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it88% 74 of 84
Zherykhin6.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 11 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi4wins
AwayZherykhin1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZherykhin33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi2Zherykhin3n = 5Zherykhin took 3 of 5
S2Zvolynskyi4Zherykhin1n = 5Zvolynskyi took 4 of 5
S3Zvolynskyi5Zherykhin0n = 5Zvolynskyi took 5 of 5
S4Zvolynskyi3Zherykhin0n = 3Zvolynskyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiZherykhinZvolynskyi − ZherykhinBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.829.4+9.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 584 vs 19 / 6553.1%29.2%310 / 584 vs 19 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.434.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.10/Zherykhin 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.1%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—71211113S. Zherykhin—1110741
WSep 1 · 07:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113S. Zherykhin—4990
WJun 5 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113S. Zherykhin—8870
LMay 31 · 16:30Y. Zvolynskyi—961111112S. Zherykhin—111157133
WApr 19 · 05:59Y. Zvolynskyi—61111113S. Zherykhin—116421
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 2 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.751111113M. Pohorilyi1.409880
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.1311114113S. Zherykhin5.50671191
Upcoming Matches
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