TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060564
Played Sep 2Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118118––––
Mykola Pohorilyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Pohorilyi to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Mykola Pohorilyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Mykola Pohorilyi at 69.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 19–33 Mykola Pohorilyi Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 19 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pohorilyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-33 in 52
Pohorilyi
Wrong
gap of 14 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1279 vs Pohorilyi 1442
Pohorilyi
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 20% vs Pohorilyi 80%
Pohorilyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 50% vs Pohorilyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -4 · Pohorilyi +2
Zvolynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Pohorilyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 2.75 / Pohorilyi 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13060564
Zvolynskyi2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Pohorilyi1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 121 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it87% 97 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi5wins
AwayPohorilyi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi100%5 of 5
AwayPohorilyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi5Pohorilyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Zvolynskyi5Pohorilyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Zvolynskyi4Pohorilyi6n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi1Pohorilyi2n = 3Pohorilyi took 2 of 3
S5Zvolynskyi2Pohorilyi1n = 3Zvolynskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiPohorilyiZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.634.8−1.2per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiPohorilyiBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 575 vs 349 / 61652.5%56.7%302 / 575 vs 349 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiZvolynskyi 2.75/Pohorilyi 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.9%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 13:00Y. Zvolynskyi—108110M. Pohorilyi—1211133
LAug 11 · 10:28Y. Zvolynskyi—10580M. Pohorilyi—1211113
WAug 11 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113M. Pohorilyi—9880
WAug 10 · 17:28Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113M. Pohorilyi—8740
LAug 10 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi—81060M. Pohorilyi—1112113
WAug 5 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113M. Pohorilyi—7670
LAug 4 · 15:30Y. Zvolynskyi—9820M. Pohorilyi—1111113
WJul 29 · 10:38Y. Zvolynskyi—131149113M. Pohorilyi—115111192
LJul 29 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—611111172M. Pohorilyi—119813113
WJul 23 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—147511113M. Pohorilyi—121111682
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722
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