TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078947
Played Sep 5Finished
Dmytro Tsys
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116116––––
Mykola Pohorilyi
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Tsys to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Tsys above · Mykola Pohorilyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Tsys at 81.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Tsys 12–0 Mykola Pohorilyi Mykola Pohorilyi has won 0 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Tsys
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-0 in 12
Tsys
Correct
gap of 12 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tsys 1661 vs Pohorilyi 1469
Tsys
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tsys 100% vs Pohorilyi 60%
Tsys
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tsys 80% vs Pohorilyi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tsys +5 · Pohorilyi +1
Tsys
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Tsys) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohorilyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTsys 1.22 / Pohorilyi 4.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Tsys)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13078947
Tsys1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 40 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Pohorilyi4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 25 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back7% 4 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTsys10wins
AwayPohorilyi0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTsys leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTsys100%8 of 8
AwayPohorilyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tsys8Pohorilyi2n = 10Tsys took 8 of 10
S2Tsys10Pohorilyi0n = 10Tsys took 10 of 10
S3Tsys9Pohorilyi1n = 10Tsys took 9 of 10
S4Tsys2Pohorilyi1n = 3Tsys took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTsysPohorilyiT − PBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.425.7+10.7per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTsysPohorilyiBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 244 vs 350 / 61651.6%56.8%126 / 244 vs 350 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsysTsys 1.22/Pohorilyi 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Tsys · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tsys won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 10:31D. Tsys—1211123M. Pohorilyi—105100
WSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys—1111113M. Pohorilyi—6660
WSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys—1211113M. Pohorilyi—10590
WSep 4 · 14:00D. Tsys—61111113M. Pohorilyi—118551
WAug 21 · 05:30D. Tsys—111111113M. Pohorilyi—136631
WAug 20 · 16:00D. Tsys—1111113M. Pohorilyi—9980
WJun 4 · 06:30D. Tsys—1111113M. Pohorilyi—8690
WJun 3 · 13:00D. Tsys—1111113M. Pohorilyi—9590
WNov 23 · 06:30D. Tsys—111179113M. Pohorilyi—89111122
WNov 22 · 16:30D. Tsys—131173M. Pohorilyi—11630
D. Tsys10
WSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470WSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123WSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113LSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172WAug 22 · 10:09D. Tsys2.0081113113O. Torianyk1.731191191
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091
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