TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073425
Played Sep 4Finished
Ihor Dubinin
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6118111012––––
Dmytro Tsys
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Tsys to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Dubinin above · Dmytro Tsys below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Dmytro Tsys at 67.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Dubinin 3–5 Dmytro Tsys Ihor Dubinin has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tsys
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Tsys
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dubinin 1355 vs Tsys 1639
Tsys
Correct
both rated, 284 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dubinin 40% vs Tsys 60%
Tsys
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dubinin 70% vs Tsys 40%
Dubinin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dubinin -2 · Tsys +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tsys)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDubinin 2.63 / Tsys 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Tsys)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073425
Dubinin2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 39 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Tsys1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDubinin3wins
AwayTsys5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderTsys leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDubinin100%3 of 3
AwayTsys100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dubinin3Tsys5n = 8Tsys took 5 of 8
S2Dubinin4Tsys4n = 8split evenly
S3Dubinin3Tsys5n = 8Tsys took 5 of 8
S4Dubinin2Tsys4n = 6Tsys took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricDubininTsysD − TBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match35.940.4−4.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDubininTsysBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 444 vs 122 / 23950.7%51.1%225 / 444 vs 122 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsysDubinin 2.63/Tsys 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Tsys · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tsys won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin—68100D. Tsys—1111123
LJul 31 · 13:30I. Dubinin—31111852D. Tsys—116811113
WJul 10 · 17:39I. Dubinin—11117113D. Tsys—961181
LJul 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin—10430D. Tsys—1211113
LJul 3 · 13:30I. Dubinin—711591D. Tsys—11911113
WApr 25 · 17:44I. Dubinin—111111113D. Tsys—591351
WApr 25 · 13:30I. Dubinin—128207113D. Tsys—1011181172
LJan 6 · 13:00I. Dubinin—5811101D. Tsys—11119123
I. Dubinin10
LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113LSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113WSep 1 · 17:38N. Priadko1.80691181I. Dubinin1.9111118113LSep 1 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.4071711113I. Dubinin2.751115781WSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160WSep 1 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.38124411113N. Priadko1.53101111592WAug 30 · 17:33Y. Zvolynskyi3.25118991I. Dubinin1.3391111113WAug 30 · 16:30I. Sorochan1.83715111092I. Dubinin1.831113512113
D. Tsys10
WSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470WSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113LSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172WAug 22 · 10:09D. Tsys2.0081113113O. Torianyk1.731191191
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