TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048316
Played Aug 30Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811911911––
Ihor Dubinin
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Ihor Dubinin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11
79 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 5–17 Ihor Dubinin Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dubinin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dubinin form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 3.25 / Dubinin 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Dubinin)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13048316
Zvolynskyi3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 39 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Dubinin1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 49 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi3wins
AwayDubinin7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDubinin leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi50%2 of 4
AwayDubinin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi4Dubinin6n = 10Dubinin took 6 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi4Dubinin6n = 10Dubinin took 6 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi2Dubinin8n = 10Dubinin took 8 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi3Dubinin5n = 8Dubinin took 5 of 8
S5Zvolynskyi2Dubinin1n = 3Zvolynskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiDubininZ − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.841.7−3.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiDubininBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 572 vs 227 / 44452.5%51.1%300 / 572 vs 227 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DubininZvolynskyi 3.25/Dubinin 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Dubinin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dubinin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 12:00Y. Zvolynskyi—713681I. Dubinin—111111113
LAug 24 · 13:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111781I. Dubinin—91311113
LAug 17 · 12:00Y. Zvolynskyi—6980I. Dubinin—1111113
WAug 4 · 17:33Y. Zvolynskyi—118311113I. Dubinin—21111992
LAug 4 · 16:30Y. Zvolynskyi—9911141I. Dubinin—11119163
LJul 17 · 12:30Y. Zvolynskyi—9550I. Dubinin—1111113
LJul 5 · 12:00Y. Zvolynskyi—11610101I. Dubinin—71112123
WJun 18 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111119113I. Dubinin—13981192
WJun 6 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi—11118113I. Dubinin—551191
LMay 24 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi—611101372I. Dubinin—1171211113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
I. Dubinin10
LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113LSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113WSep 1 · 17:38N. Priadko1.80691181I. Dubinin1.9111118113LSep 1 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.4071711113I. Dubinin2.751115781WSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160WSep 1 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.38124411113N. Priadko1.53101111592WAug 30 · 16:30I. Sorochan1.83715111092I. Dubinin1.831113512113
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