TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079195
Played Sep 5Finished
Dmytro Tsys
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111151012711––
Sergii Sideltsev
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Tsys to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Tsys above · Sergii Sideltsev below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Tsys at 64.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Tsys 4–0 Sergii Sideltsev Sergii Sideltsev has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tsys
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Tsys
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tsys 1658 vs Sideltsev 1551
Tsys
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tsys 100% vs Sideltsev 80%
Tsys
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tsys 80% vs Sideltsev 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tsys +5 · Sideltsev +1
Tsys
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Tsys)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sideltsev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTsys 1.44 / Sideltsev 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Tsys)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079195
Tsys1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 37 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Sideltsev2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 31 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTsys4wins
AwaySideltsev0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderTsys leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tsys2Sideltsev2n = 4split evenly
S2Tsys3Sideltsev1n = 4Tsys took 3 of 4
S3Tsys4Sideltsev0n = 4Tsys took 4 of 4
S4Tsys2Sideltsev1n = 3Tsys took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTsysSideltsevT − SBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.831.5+10.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTsysSideltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 241 vs 242 / 41051.5%59%124 / 241 vs 242 / 410Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsysTsys 1.44/Sideltsev 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Tsys · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 1 · 09:30D. Tsys—711117113S. Sideltsev—11861192
WJul 11 · 10:43D. Tsys—71111133S. Sideltsev—1141111
WJul 11 · 06:00D. Tsys—1111113S. Sideltsev—5860
WJan 7 · 08:00D. Tsys—11815113S. Sideltsev—5111361
D. Tsys10
WSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113WSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470WSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123WSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113LSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172WAug 22 · 10:09D. Tsys2.0081113113O. Torianyk1.731191191
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113
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