TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067359
Played Sep 3Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71161112101311811
Sergii Sideltsev
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeSergii Sideltsev to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Sergii Sideltsev below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Sergii Sideltsev at 79.4%
100 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 2–5 Sergii Sideltsev Roman Sveshnykov has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Sideltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Sideltsev
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1237 vs Sideltsev 1540
Sideltsev
Correct
both rated, 303 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 20% vs Sideltsev 80%
Sideltsev
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 40% vs Sideltsev 60%
Sideltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov -2 · Sideltsev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Sideltsev) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 4.00 / Sideltsev 1.22
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Sideltsev)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067359
Sveshnykov4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Sideltsev1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it100% 68 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSveshnykov2wins
AwaySideltsev5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSideltsev leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySideltsev83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov1Sideltsev6n = 7Sideltsev took 6 of 7
S2Sveshnykov3Sideltsev4n = 7Sideltsev took 4 of 7
S3Sveshnykov0Sideltsev7n = 7Sideltsev took 7 of 7
S4Sveshnykov2Sideltsev1n = 3Sveshnykov took 2 of 3
S5Sveshnykov2Sideltsev1n = 3Sveshnykov took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away457%
These 7 meetings
MetricSveshnykovSideltsevSveshnykov − SideltsevBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match30.739.3−8.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovSideltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 263 vs 237 / 40438.8%58.7%102 / 263 vs 237 / 404Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SideltsevSveshnykov 4.00/Sideltsev 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Sideltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMay 31 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov—911811113S. Sideltsev—11911582
LMay 24 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov—5670S. Sideltsev—1111113
WMay 8 · 08:30R. Sveshnykov—1111135113S. Sideltsev—77151172
LMar 13 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov—3980S. Sideltsev—1111113
LMar 9 · 08:00R. Sveshnykov—2890S. Sideltsev—1111113
LJan 15 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov—71130S. Sideltsev—1113113
LDec 24 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov—211101122S. Sideltsev—118128113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113
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