TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072516
Played Sep 3Finished
Roman Hryhoriev
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511118211––
Sergii Sideltsev
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingRoman Hryhoriev above · Sergii Sideltsev below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 68 set 4, 2-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hryhoriev 7–2 Sergii Sideltsev Sergii Sideltsev has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sideltsev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sideltsev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhoriev 2.63 / Sideltsev 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Sideltsev)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13072516
Hryhoriev2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 10 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Sideltsev1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it100% 68 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHryhoriev7wins
AwaySideltsev2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHryhoriev leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHryhoriev75%6 of 8
AwaySideltsevn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryhoriev8Sideltsev1n = 9Hryhoriev took 8 of 9
S2Hryhoriev6Sideltsev3n = 9Hryhoriev took 6 of 9
S3Hryhoriev6Sideltsev3n = 9Hryhoriev took 6 of 9
S4Hryhoriev1Sideltsev4n = 5Sideltsev took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricHryhorievSideltsevH − SBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match40.633.8+6.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorievSideltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 262 vs 240 / 40748.1%59%126 / 262 vs 240 / 407Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SideltsevHryhoriev 2.63/Sideltsev 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Sideltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 3 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev—1391191S. Sideltsev—111113113
WFeb 5 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev—1111113S. Sideltsev—7640
WNov 3 · 14:00R. Hryhoriev—1111108113S. Sideltsev—85121152
WOct 5 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev—129111793S. Sideltsev—101141972
LSep 5 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev—1181061S. Sideltsev—81112113
WSep 2 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev—1111113S. Sideltsev—8580
WSep 1 · 17:40R. Hryhoriev—1112113S. Sideltsev—91080
WSep 1 · 14:00R. Hryhoriev—1311113S. Sideltsev—11260
WAug 27 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—91111133S. Sideltsev—1199111
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev1.911211116123I. Dubinin1.80148811102WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113
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