TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067456
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111210611119911
Roman Hryhoriev
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Hryhoriev to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Levytskyi above · Roman Hryhoriev below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Roman Hryhoriev at 73.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Levytskyi 13–26 Roman Hryhoriev Oleksandr Levytskyi has won 13 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Hryhoriev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-26 in 39
Hryhoriev
Correct
gap of 13 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskyi 1216 vs Hryhoriev 1357
Hryhoriev
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskyi 80% vs Hryhoriev 60%
Levytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskyi 70% vs Hryhoriev 50%
Levytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskyi -1 · Hryhoriev +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Hryhoriev) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhoriev form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskyi 3.50 / Hryhoriev 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Hryhoriev)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067456
Levytskyi3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog20% won 13 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Hryhoriev1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite64% won 18 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskyi2wins
AwayHryhoriev8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHryhoriev leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskyi50%2 of 4
AwayHryhoriev100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskyi4Hryhoriev6n = 10Hryhoriev took 6 of 10
S2Levytskyi2Hryhoriev8n = 10Hryhoriev took 8 of 10
S3Levytskyi5Hryhoriev5n = 10split evenly
S4Levytskyi0Hryhoriev6n = 6Hryhoriev took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskyiHryhorievL − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.139.6−6.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskyiHryhorievBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 304 vs 125 / 26043.1%48.1%131 / 304 vs 125 / 260Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorievLevytskyi 3.50/Hryhoriev 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Hryhoriev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hryhoriev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 25 · 12:30O. Levytskyi—10840R. Hryhoriev—1211113
LMar 31 · 13:00O. Levytskyi—911111062R. Hryhoriev—118912113
LMar 23 · 16:30O. Levytskyi—9911121R. Hryhoriev—11119143
LDec 8 · 15:00O. Levytskyi—491191R. Hryhoriev—11119113
LDec 3 · 16:30O. Levytskyi—6370R. Hryhoriev—1111113
LNov 2 · 17:30O. Levytskyi—1410861R. Hryhoriev—121211113
LOct 14 · 15:30O. Levytskyi—3860R. Hryhoriev—1111113
WSep 29 · 17:04O. Levytskyi—119118153R. Hryhoriev—311911132
WSep 29 · 13:00O. Levytskyi—1116113R. Hryhoriev—71480
LSep 28 · 14:00O. Levytskyi—145511R. Hryhoriev—12111122
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi1.401111113A. Lysyi2.753580WAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981WAug 29 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8367111162O. Levytskyi1.8311117693WAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113WAug 29 · 12:30A. Lysyi2.63991191O. Levytskyi1.4411118113LAug 27 · 17:29O. Levytskyi2.1016111281S. Honcharenko1.6718714113
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev1.911211116123I. Dubinin1.80148811102WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
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