TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037730
Played Aug 29Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61171111711669
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-9
Point 85 set 5, 6-9 — our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 1–1 Oleksandr Levytskyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Levytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1021 vs Levytskyi 1169
Levytskyi
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 40% vs Levytskyi 60%
Levytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 50% vs Levytskyi 70%
Levytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -2 · Levytskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 1.83 / Levytskyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Levytskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037730
Zherykhin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Levytskyi1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZherykhin1wins
AwayLevytskyi1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZherykhinLevytskyiZ − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.039.0+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 55 vs 127 / 29932.7%42.5%18 / 55 vs 127 / 299Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskyiZherykhin 1.83/Levytskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Levytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Levytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 26 · 13:30S. Zherykhin—1311113O. Levytskyi—11770
LJul 19 · 15:30S. Zherykhin—1110101192O. Levytskyi—912129113
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi1.401111113A. Lysyi2.753580WAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981WAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113WAug 29 · 12:30A. Lysyi2.63991191O. Levytskyi1.4411118113LAug 27 · 17:29O. Levytskyi2.1016111281S. Honcharenko1.6718714113
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