TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088651
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Badanin
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11613151151012119
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 103 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 1–0 Stanislav Zherykhin Stanislav Zherykhin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Badanin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Badanin 1150 vs Zherykhin 995
Badanin
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badanin 20% vs Zherykhin 40%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badanin 50% vs Zherykhin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Badanin -3 · Zherykhin -1
Badanin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Badanin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badanin form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 1.33 / Zherykhin 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Badanin)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088651
Badanin1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 39 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Zherykhin3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 13 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBadanin1wins
AwayZherykhin0wins
Badanin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBadaninZherykhinB − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.037.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 338 vs 23 / 7347.9%31.5%162 / 338 vs 23 / 73Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninBadanin 1.33/Zherykhin 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Badanin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 1 · 09:00O. Badanin—121112113S. Zherykhin—1091441
O. Badanin10
LSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171WSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123LSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:30O. Badanin1.57111125113S. Honcharenko2.2559111182LSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531WSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450WSep 1 · 09:00O. Badanin1.33121112113S. Zherykhin3.251091441
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100LSep 1 · 09:00O. Badanin1.33121112113S. Zherykhin3.251091441
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