TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089002
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181181311––––
Oleksandr Badanin
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Oleksandr Badanin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 62 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 58.1%
62 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 24–27 Oleksandr Badanin Yurii Urezchenko has won 24 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Badanin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-27 in 51
Badanin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1087 vs Badanin 1168
Badanin
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 40% vs Badanin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 30% vs Badanin 50%
Badanin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko +2 · Badanin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Badanin) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badanin form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 2.38 / Badanin 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Badanin)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089002
Urezchenko2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 41 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back13% 13 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Badanin1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 39 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrezchenko4wins
AwayBadanin6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBadanin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayBadanin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko6Badanin4n = 10Urezchenko took 6 of 10
S2Urezchenko4Badanin6n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10
S3Urezchenko3Badanin7n = 10Badanin took 7 of 10
S4Urezchenko5Badanin3n = 8Urezchenko took 5 of 8
S5Urezchenko1Badanin3n = 4Badanin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoBadaninU − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.340.4−5.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoBadaninBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 472 vs 162 / 33744.3%48.1%209 / 472 vs 162 / 337Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninUrezchenko 2.38/Badanin 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 10:13Y. Urezchenko—3450O. Badanin—1111113
WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko—11114113O. Badanin—781191
LJul 2 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko—8540O. Badanin—1111113
LJun 28 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko—88111122O. Badanin—111189113
LJun 22 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—11861182O. Badanin—511117113
WJun 17 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko—111286113O. Badanin—910111172
LMay 29 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—1191071O. Badanin—91112113
WApr 28 · 10:34Y. Urezchenko—11116113O. Badanin—881141
LApr 28 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko—71111562O. Badanin—118911113
WApr 14 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko—11611113O. Badanin—811891
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191LSep 1 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko4.3367100Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111123
O. Badanin10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171WSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123LSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:30O. Badanin1.57111125113S. Honcharenko2.2559111182LSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531WSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450WSep 1 · 09:00O. Badanin1.33121112113S. Zherykhin3.251091441LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191
Upcoming Matches
Y. Urezchenko
O. Badanin
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.