TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072915
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Badanin
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114711115113––
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 63 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 67.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 10–4 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Badanin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Badanin
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Badanin 1202 vs Khyzhnyak 1055
Badanin
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badanin 40% vs Khyzhnyak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badanin 60% vs Khyzhnyak 30%
Badanin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badanin +2 · Khyzhnyak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Badanin) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badanin form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 1.33 / Khyzhnyak 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Badanin)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072915
Badanin1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 40 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Khyzhnyak3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 21 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBadanin7wins
AwayKhyzhnyak3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBadanin leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBadanin83.3%5 of 6
AwayKhyzhnyak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badanin6Khyzhnyak4n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10
S2Badanin4Khyzhnyak6n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S3Badanin8Khyzhnyak2n = 10Badanin took 8 of 10
S4Badanin6Khyzhnyak1n = 7Badanin took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBadaninKhyzhnyakB − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.833.0+6.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 335 vs 48 / 14848.4%32.4%162 / 335 vs 48 / 148Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.633.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninBadanin 1.33/Khyzhnyak 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Badanin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin—11711113V. Khyzhnyak—411531
LJun 15 · 05:00O. Badanin—78100V. Khyzhnyak—1111123
WApr 28 · 07:00O. Badanin—111111123V. Khyzhnyak—8137101
WApr 16 · 08:30O. Badanin—101111113V. Khyzhnyak—127281
WApr 10 · 09:30O. Badanin—11811113V. Khyzhnyak—211791
LMar 20 · 06:00O. Badanin—1177111V. Khyzhnyak—51111133
WMar 17 · 11:03O. Badanin—91111133V. Khyzhnyak—1186111
WMar 17 · 07:00O. Badanin—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—7860
WFeb 3 · 07:00O. Badanin—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—4790
LJan 16 · 06:00O. Badanin—10101111162V. Khyzhnyak—121299183
O. Badanin10
LSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171WSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123LSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:30O. Badanin1.57111125113S. Honcharenko2.2559111182LSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450WSep 1 · 09:00O. Badanin1.33121112113S. Zherykhin3.251091441LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322LAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko2.10111188123V. Khyzhnyak1.67481111102LAug 17 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.11211811113V. Khyzhnyak6.0011611592
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