TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072985
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116118––––
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 85.6%
54 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 18–1 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 1 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Honcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-1 in 19
Honcharenko
Correct
gap of 17 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1299 vs Khyzhnyak 1055
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 40% vs Khyzhnyak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 60% vs Khyzhnyak 30%
Honcharenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko -2 · Khyzhnyak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Honcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.17 / Khyzhnyak 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Honcharenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13072985
Honcharenko1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 100 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it85% 80 of 94
Khyzhnyak4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 21 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko10wins
AwayKhyzhnyak0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko100%7 of 7
AwayKhyzhnyak0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko7Khyzhnyak3n = 10Honcharenko took 7 of 10
S2Honcharenko8Khyzhnyak2n = 10Honcharenko took 8 of 10
S3Honcharenko8Khyzhnyak2n = 10Honcharenko took 8 of 10
S4Honcharenko3Khyzhnyak2n = 5Honcharenko took 3 of 5
S5Honcharenko4Khyzhnyak0n = 4Honcharenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoKhyzhnyakH − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.431.6+9.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 827 vs 48 / 14851.4%32.4%425 / 827 vs 48 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.833.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.17/Khyzhnyak 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—7680
WAug 14 · 05:00S. Honcharenko—1211912113V. Khyzhnyak—148111052
WJul 21 · 07:00S. Honcharenko—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—9690
WJun 9 · 05:30S. Honcharenko—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—7920
WMay 4 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—711119113V. Khyzhnyak—11731132
WApr 22 · 09:30S. Honcharenko—1111163V. Khyzhnyak—47140
WApr 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1211810113V. Khyzhnyak—109111292
WApr 16 · 05:30S. Honcharenko—781111113V. Khyzhnyak—11112772
WMar 23 · 10:00S. Honcharenko—11711113V. Khyzhnyak—711971
WMar 17 · 10:00S. Honcharenko—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—8680
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871WSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322LAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko2.10111188123V. Khyzhnyak1.67481111102LAug 17 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.11211811113V. Khyzhnyak6.0011611592
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