TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12445127
Played Aug 17Finished
Viacheslav Yarovyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111131191113112
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Khyzhnyak to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViacheslav Yarovyi above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 89 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Volodymyr Khyzhnyak at 58.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Yarovyi 3–7 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Viacheslav Yarovyi has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yarovyi 952 vs Khyzhnyak 1062
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yarovyi 40% vs Khyzhnyak 20%
Yarovyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yarovyi 30% vs Khyzhnyak 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yarovyi +1 · Khyzhnyak -4
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Khyzhnyak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYarovyi 2.10 / Khyzhnyak 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Khyzhnyak)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12445127
Yarovyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 12 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Khyzhnyak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite90% won 9 of 10
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYarovyi3wins
AwayKhyzhnyak7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYarovyi60%3 of 5
AwayKhyzhnyak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yarovyi5Khyzhnyak5n = 10split evenly
S2Yarovyi6Khyzhnyak4n = 10Yarovyi took 6 of 10
S3Yarovyi4Khyzhnyak6n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S4Yarovyi3Khyzhnyak5n = 8Khyzhnyak took 5 of 8
S5Yarovyi1Khyzhnyak4n = 5Khyzhnyak took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYarovyiKhyzhnyakY − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.441.2−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYarovyiKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 99 vs 46 / 15326.3%30.1%26 / 99 vs 46 / 153Avg sets wonper match1.51.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.434.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhyzhnyakYarovyi 2.10/Khyzhnyak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Khyzhnyak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yarovyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 09:30V. Yarovyi—811111182V. Khyzhnyak—118133113
LJun 9 · 09:00V. Yarovyi—75130V. Khyzhnyak—1111153
LMay 25 · 09:58V. Yarovyi—411115112V. Khyzhnyak—117911133
WMay 25 · 06:00V. Yarovyi—11111010113V. Khyzhnyak—89121272
LApr 28 · 10:04V. Yarovyi—1091191V. Khyzhnyak—12117113
WApr 28 · 06:00V. Yarovyi—13411113V. Khyzhnyak—1111261
WApr 10 · 05:00V. Yarovyi—1111123V. Khyzhnyak—47100
LJun 9 · 15:30V. Yarovyi—114111192V. Khyzhnyak—111139113
LApr 9 · 16:00V. Yarovyi—111181042V. Khyzhnyak—971112113
LFeb 28 · 15:00V. Yarovyi—612871V. Khyzhnyak—111011113
V. Yarovyi10
LAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072LAug 30 · 08:00V. Yarovyi3.257880V. Matviichuk1.331111113WAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi2.631111113A. Lysyi1.449590LAug 30 · 05:00V. Yarovyi3.7561111782S. Honcharenko1.25118911113LAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432WAug 29 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.6311611113S. Zherykhin1.44911931LAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.109670A. Lysyi1.671111113LAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113LAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113LAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko2.10111188123V. Khyzhnyak1.67481111102LAug 17 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.11211811113V. Khyzhnyak6.0011611592
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