TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043761
Played Aug 30Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
1.13
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1148118111210117
Viacheslav Yarovyi
Away
5.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Viacheslav Yarovyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 71.6%
93 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1252 vs Yarovyi 933
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 318 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Yarovyi 40%
Sveshnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 50% vs Yarovyi 20%
Sveshnykov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov -2 · Yarovyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yarovyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.13 / Yarovyi 5.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13043761
Sveshnykov1.13
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite85% won 33 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Yarovyi5.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 15 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovYarovyiBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 260 vs 28 / 10138.9%27.7%101 / 260 vs 28 / 101Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.13/Yarovyi 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sveshnykov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420
V. Yarovyi10
LAug 30 · 08:00V. Yarovyi3.257880V. Matviichuk1.331111113WAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi2.631111113A. Lysyi1.449590LAug 30 · 05:00V. Yarovyi3.7561111782S. Honcharenko1.25118911113LAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432WAug 29 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.6311611113S. Zherykhin1.44911931LAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.109670A. Lysyi1.671111113LAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113LAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113LAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101LAug 17 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko1.571111113V. Yarovyi2.256970
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