TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037817
Played Aug 29Finished
Viacheslav Yarovyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611711––––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingViacheslav Yarovyi above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 54.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Yarovyi 8–7 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yarovyi 915 vs Lysyi 1162
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 247 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yarovyi 20% vs Lysyi 40%
Lysyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yarovyi 30% vs Lysyi 60%
Lysyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yarovyi -4 · Lysyi +2
Yarovyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lysyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYarovyi 2.10 / Lysyi 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Lysyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037817
Yarovyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 14 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Lysyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 55 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it82% 40 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYarovyi3wins
AwayLysyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYarovyi60%3 of 5
AwayLysyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yarovyi5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Yarovyi4Lysyi6n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S3Yarovyi4Lysyi6n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S4Yarovyi2Lysyi3n = 5Lysyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricYarovyiLysyiY − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.436.2−2.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYarovyiLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 95 vs 173 / 40427.4%42.8%26 / 95 vs 173 / 404Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiYarovyi 2.10/Lysyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 06:30V. Yarovyi—111110113A. Lysyi—951291
WAug 16 · 17:01V. Yarovyi—1512113A. Lysyi—131060
WAug 16 · 12:30V. Yarovyi—1111113A. Lysyi—8780
LJul 27 · 06:30V. Yarovyi—8111061A. Lysyi—11412113
LJun 29 · 07:30V. Yarovyi—7960A. Lysyi—1111113
LJun 8 · 07:30V. Yarovyi—7390A. Lysyi—1111113
LApr 10 · 07:30V. Yarovyi—78111162A. Lysyi—111158113
LNov 28 · 07:00V. Yarovyi—11814992A. Lysyi—4111211113
LSep 8 · 05:00V. Yarovyi—1110541A. Lysyi—91211113
LJul 12 · 08:30V. Yarovyi—8570A. Lysyi—1111113
V. Yarovyi10
LAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072LAug 30 · 08:00V. Yarovyi3.257880V. Matviichuk1.331111113WAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi2.631111113A. Lysyi1.449590LAug 30 · 05:00V. Yarovyi3.7561111782S. Honcharenko1.25118911113LAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432WAug 29 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.6311611113S. Zherykhin1.44911931LAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113LAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113LAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101LAug 17 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko1.571111113V. Yarovyi2.256970
A. Lysyi10
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi2.631111113A. Lysyi1.449590
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.