TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037613
Played Aug 29Finished
Viacheslav Yarovyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611119113––
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeStanislav Zherykhin to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViacheslav Yarovyi above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Stanislav Zherykhin at 66.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Yarovyi 0–3 Stanislav Zherykhin Viacheslav Yarovyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zherykhin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Zherykhin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yarovyi 905 vs Zherykhin 1013
Zherykhin
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yarovyi 0% vs Zherykhin 20%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yarovyi 30% vs Zherykhin 50%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yarovyi -5 · Zherykhin -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zherykhin) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYarovyi 2.63 / Zherykhin 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Zherykhin)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037613
Yarovyi2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 14 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Zherykhin1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeYarovyi0wins
AwayZherykhin3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderZherykhin leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yarovyi2Zherykhin1n = 3Yarovyi took 2 of 3
S2Yarovyi1Zherykhin2n = 3Zherykhin took 2 of 3
S3Yarovyi1Zherykhin2n = 3Zherykhin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricYarovyiZherykhinY − ZBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.344.7−9.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYarovyiZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 96 vs 18 / 5627.1%32.1%26 / 96 vs 18 / 56Avg sets wonper match1.51.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZherykhinYarovyi 2.63/Zherykhin 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Zherykhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yarovyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 26 · 17:20V. Yarovyi—91120S. Zherykhin—1113113
LJul 26 · 15:00V. Yarovyi—16119732S. Zherykhin—1441111113
LJul 12 · 13:00V. Yarovyi—12411562S. Zherykhin—1011511113
V. Yarovyi10
LAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072LAug 30 · 08:00V. Yarovyi3.257880V. Matviichuk1.331111113WAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi2.631111113A. Lysyi1.449590LAug 30 · 05:00V. Yarovyi3.7561111782S. Honcharenko1.25118911113LAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.109670A. Lysyi1.671111113LAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113LAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113LAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101LAug 17 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko1.571111113V. Yarovyi2.256970
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113
Upcoming Matches
V. Yarovyi
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S. Zherykhin
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