TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043733
Played Aug 30Finished
Viacheslav Yarovyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811811––––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Yarovyi above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 72.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Yarovyi 4–11 Vasyl Matviichuk Viacheslav Yarovyi has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Matviichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Matviichuk
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yarovyi 945 vs Matviichuk 1040
Matviichuk
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yarovyi 40% vs Matviichuk 20%
Yarovyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yarovyi 30% vs Matviichuk 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yarovyi +1 · Matviichuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Matviichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYarovyi 3.25 / Matviichuk 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Matviichuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13043733
Yarovyi3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 15 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Matviichuk1.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYarovyi3wins
AwayMatviichuk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYarovyi75%3 of 4
AwayMatviichuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yarovyi4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S2Yarovyi3Matviichuk7n = 10Matviichuk took 7 of 10
S3Yarovyi3Matviichuk7n = 10Matviichuk took 7 of 10
S4Yarovyi3Matviichuk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricYarovyiMatviichukY − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.938.8−3.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYarovyiMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 100 vs 289 / 61928%46.7%28 / 100 vs 289 / 619Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukYarovyi 3.25/Matviichuk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 12 · 16:30V. Yarovyi—791171V. Matviichuk—11118113
LJun 29 · 09:00V. Yarovyi—6840V. Matviichuk—1111113
LJun 9 · 06:00V. Yarovyi—7111281V. Matviichuk—11214113
LMay 26 · 10:08V. Yarovyi—12970V. Matviichuk—1411113
LMay 26 · 06:00V. Yarovyi—119761V. Matviichuk—91111113
WApr 29 · 06:00V. Yarovyi—1112113V. Matviichuk—61090
WNov 28 · 10:30V. Yarovyi—11912133V. Matviichuk—61110111
WNov 20 · 06:00V. Yarovyi—154911113V. Matviichuk—131111992
LJun 14 · 09:00V. Yarovyi—811101152V. Matviichuk—117129103
LMay 25 · 05:30V. Yarovyi—8880V. Matviichuk—1111113
V. Yarovyi10
LAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072WAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi2.631111113A. Lysyi1.449590LAug 30 · 05:00V. Yarovyi3.7561111782S. Honcharenko1.25118911113LAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432WAug 29 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.6311611113S. Zherykhin1.44911931LAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.109670A. Lysyi1.671111113LAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113LAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113LAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101LAug 17 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko1.571111113V. Yarovyi2.256970
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871
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