TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043742
Played Aug 30Finished
Viacheslav Yarovyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115119––––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViacheslav Yarovyi above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 67.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Yarovyi 9–8 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lysyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yarovyi 930 vs Lysyi 1108
Lysyi
Wrong
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yarovyi 20% vs Lysyi 80%
Lysyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yarovyi 30% vs Lysyi 50%
Lysyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yarovyi -2 · Lysyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Lysyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYarovyi 2.63 / Lysyi 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Lysyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13043742
Yarovyi2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 16 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back9% 4 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Lysyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 59 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYarovyi4wins
AwayLysyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYarovyi80%4 of 5
AwayLysyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yarovyi5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Yarovyi5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Yarovyi5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Yarovyi2Lysyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricYarovyiLysyiY − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.934.2−0.3per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYarovyiLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 102 vs 177 / 41527.5%42.7%28 / 102 vs 177 / 415Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiYarovyi 2.63/Lysyi 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Yarovyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi—1111113A. Lysyi—9590
LAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi—9670A. Lysyi—1111113
WAug 17 · 06:30V. Yarovyi—111110113A. Lysyi—951291
WAug 16 · 17:01V. Yarovyi—1512113A. Lysyi—131060
WAug 16 · 12:30V. Yarovyi—1111113A. Lysyi—8780
LJul 27 · 06:30V. Yarovyi—8111061A. Lysyi—11412113
LJun 29 · 07:30V. Yarovyi—7960A. Lysyi—1111113
LJun 8 · 07:30V. Yarovyi—7390A. Lysyi—1111113
LApr 10 · 07:30V. Yarovyi—78111162A. Lysyi—111158113
LNov 28 · 07:00V. Yarovyi—11814992A. Lysyi—4111211113
V. Yarovyi10
LAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072LAug 30 · 08:00V. Yarovyi3.257880V. Matviichuk1.331111113LAug 30 · 05:00V. Yarovyi3.7561111782S. Honcharenko1.25118911113LAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432WAug 29 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.6311611113S. Zherykhin1.44911931LAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.109670A. Lysyi1.671111113LAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113LAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113LAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101LAug 17 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko1.571111113V. Yarovyi2.256970
A. Lysyi10
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.109670A. Lysyi1.671111113
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