TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084093
Played Sep 6Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111911911115611
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 85 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 54.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 4–3 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1005 vs Lysyi 1085
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 40% vs Lysyi 20%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 20% vs Lysyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin +1 · Lysyi -3
Lysyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysyi) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 2.00 / Lysyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lysyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13084093
Zherykhin2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 13 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Lysyi1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 60 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZherykhin4wins
AwayLysyi3wins
6 of 7 to a deciderZherykhin leads 4–3, and 6 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhin50%2 of 4
AwayLysyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin4Lysyi3n = 7Zherykhin took 4 of 7
S2Zherykhin1Lysyi6n = 7Lysyi took 6 of 7
S3Zherykhin4Lysyi3n = 7Zherykhin took 4 of 7
S4Zherykhin4Lysyi3n = 7Zherykhin took 4 of 7
S5Zherykhin4Lysyi2n = 6Zherykhin took 4 of 6
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home457%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricZherykhinLysyiZ − LBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match46.446.1+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 72 vs 180 / 42531.9%42.4%23 / 72 vs 180 / 425Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiZherykhin 2.00/Lysyi 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin—11991162A. Lysyi—111115113
LAug 29 · 13:30S. Zherykhin—11411452A. Lysyi—911911113
WJun 7 · 06:30S. Zherykhin—991111113A. Lysyi—11119672
WMay 23 · 06:30S. Zherykhin—881311113A. Lysyi—111111672
LApr 19 · 07:28S. Zherykhin—4101261A. Lysyi—111210113
WApr 11 · 09:59S. Zherykhin—1112711113A. Lysyi—71411682
WApr 11 · 06:30S. Zherykhin—111188203A. Lysyi—851111182
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741LSep 3 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.1311114113S. Zherykhin5.50671191
A. Lysyi10
WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871LSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113LAug 31 · 08:30V. Matviichuk1.83111512113A. Lysyi1.836171021
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