TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066947
Played Sep 3Finished
Vasyl Matviichuk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191181210––––
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 61 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 55.8%
61 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 0–1 Stanislav Zherykhin Vasyl Matviichuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Matviichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Matviichuk 1100 vs Zherykhin 967
Matviichuk
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matviichuk 20% vs Zherykhin 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matviichuk 50% vs Zherykhin 10%
Matviichuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matviichuk -4 · Zherykhin +1
Matviichuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Matviichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 1.57 / Zherykhin 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Matviichuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13066947
Matviichuk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it82% 58 of 71
Zherykhin2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 10 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMatviichuk0wins
AwayZherykhin1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZherykhin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMatviichukZherykhinM − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.042.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 618 vs 19 / 6447.1%29.7%291 / 618 vs 19 / 64Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.934.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukMatviichuk 1.57/Zherykhin 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 12 · 12:00V. Matviichuk—11871192S. Zherykhin—411115113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741LSep 3 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.1311114113S. Zherykhin5.50671191
Upcoming Matches
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S. Zherykhin
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