TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055054
Played Sep 1Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6117111012––––
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 84.6%
57 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 4–25 Yurii Zvolynskyi Yurii Urezchenko has won 4 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-25 in 29
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 21 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1109 vs Zvolynskyi 1300
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 60% vs Zvolynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 60% vs Zvolynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko +2 · Zvolynskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Zvolynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 4.33 / Zvolynskyi 1.20
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13055054
Urezchenko4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 41 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back14% 13 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Zvolynskyi1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 86 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it88% 70 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrezchenko2wins
AwayZvolynskyi8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayZvolynskyi100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko3Zvolynskyi7n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Urezchenko2Zvolynskyi8n = 10Zvolynskyi took 8 of 10
S3Urezchenko3Zvolynskyi7n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Urezchenko1Zvolynskyi3n = 4Zvolynskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoZvolynskyiU − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.337.7−7.4per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 466 vs 303 / 57444.4%52.8%207 / 466 vs 303 / 574Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiUrezchenko 4.33/Zvolynskyi 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko—67100Y. Zvolynskyi—1111123
LAug 25 · 10:08Y. Urezchenko—1111181Y. Zvolynskyi—91311113
WAug 25 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—129115123Y. Zvolynskyi—1011911102
LJun 23 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—7390Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
LJun 17 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—75111492Y. Zvolynskyi—1111912113
LMay 6 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—612581Y. Zvolynskyi—111011113
LMar 2 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko—8990Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
LJan 25 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko—11760Y. Zvolynskyi—131183
LNov 26 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko—6770Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
WOct 15 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—1112113Y. Zvolynskyi—31070
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
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