TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12450989
Played Aug 17Finished
Roman Hryhoriev
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141181186111210
Ihor Dubinin
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRoman Hryhoriev above · Ihor Dubinin below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 103 set 5, 12-10
103 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hryhoriev 33–38 Ihor Dubinin Roman Hryhoriev has won 33 of their 71 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dubinin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dubinin form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhoriev 1.91 / Dubinin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dubinin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12450989
Hryhoriev1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 8 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Dubinin1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite69% won 49 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHryhoriev3wins
AwayDubinin7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDubinin leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHryhorievn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDubinin75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryhoriev2Dubinin8n = 10Dubinin took 8 of 10
S2Hryhoriev5Dubinin5n = 10split evenly
S3Hryhoriev6Dubinin4n = 10Hryhoriev took 6 of 10
S4Hryhoriev3Dubinin4n = 7Dubinin took 4 of 7
S5Hryhoriev2Dubinin4n = 6Dubinin took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHryhorievDubininH − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.042.1−4.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorievDubininBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 284 vs 228 / 44850%50.9%142 / 284 vs 228 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DubininHryhoriev 1.91/Dubinin 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dubinin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hryhoriev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—8770I. Dubinin—1111113
LJul 22 · 13:30R. Hryhoriev—11811122I. Dubinin—711511113
WJul 13 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—811111133I. Dubinin—111164112
LJul 8 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—51161172I. Dubinin—118117113
WJul 3 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev—1111113I. Dubinin—9880
LJun 25 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—6511111I. Dubinin—11116133
LApr 30 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev—10770I. Dubinin—1211113
WApr 16 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev—1311139113I. Dubinin—156111192
LApr 7 · 17:29R. Hryhoriev—611129102I. Dubinin—1141011123
LApr 7 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev—511611132I. Dubinin—117118153
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
I. Dubinin10
LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113LSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113WSep 1 · 17:38N. Priadko1.80691181I. Dubinin1.9111118113LSep 1 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.4071711113I. Dubinin2.751115781WSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160WSep 1 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.38124411113N. Priadko1.53101111592WAug 30 · 17:33Y. Zvolynskyi3.25118991I. Dubinin1.3391111113
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