TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055332
Played Sep 1Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171311117––––
Roman Hryhoriev
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMykola Pohorilyi to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Roman Hryhoriev below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Mykola Pohorilyi at 63.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 17–10 Roman Hryhoriev Roman Hryhoriev has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:36What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pohorilyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-10 in 27
Pohorilyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1397 vs Hryhoriev 1339
Pohorilyi
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 0% vs Hryhoriev 60%
Hryhoriev
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 10% vs Hryhoriev 40%
Hryhoriev
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi -5 · Hryhoriev +1
Pohorilyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pohorilyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhoriev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 1.50 / Hryhoriev 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055332
Pohorilyi1.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 122 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it87% 97 of 112
Hryhoriev2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 9 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi8wins
AwayHryhoriev2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayHryhoriev25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi6Hryhoriev4n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S2Pohorilyi7Hryhoriev3n = 10Pohorilyi took 7 of 10
S3Pohorilyi6Hryhoriev4n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S4Pohorilyi4Hryhoriev4n = 8split evenly
S5Pohorilyi4Hryhoriev1n = 5Pohorilyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiHryhorievP − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.535.8+7.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiHryhorievBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 615 vs 123 / 25856.8%47.7%349 / 615 vs 123 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiPohorilyi 1.50/Hryhoriev 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—1113113R. Hryhoriev—71170
WAug 17 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—11611113R. Hryhoriev—811781
LJul 22 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—119491R. Hryhoriev—51111113
WJul 13 · 17:38M. Pohorilyi—114128113R. Hryhoriev—311101172
WJul 13 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—1111113R. Hryhoriev—3360
LJul 8 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—911101182R. Hryhoriev—118125113
WJun 25 · 17:04M. Pohorilyi—411118123R. Hryhoriev—119311102
WJun 25 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—11119183R. Hryhoriev—8411161
WApr 30 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—1111811113R. Hryhoriev—13311532
WFeb 5 · 18:40M. Pohorilyi—9111111113R. Hryhoriev—11481362
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev1.911211116123I. Dubinin1.80148811102WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
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