TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055199
Played Sep 1Finished
Roman Hryhoriev
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911311––––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 81.8% is still 81.8%
Graded at full timePetr Kolesnik to win
81.8%
81.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Hryhoriev above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 51 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Petr Kolesnik at 81.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hryhoriev 0–17 Petr Kolesnik Roman Hryhoriev has won 0 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kolesnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-17 in 17
Kolesnik
Correct
gap of 17 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hryhoriev 1359 vs Kolesnik 1551
Kolesnik
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hryhoriev 40% vs Kolesnik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryhoriev 30% vs Kolesnik 50%
Kolesnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryhoriev +2 · Kolesnik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Kolesnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhoriev 4.33 / Kolesnik 1.20
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Kolesnik)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13055199
Hryhoriev4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 9 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Kolesnik1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 91 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it86% 70 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHryhoriev0wins
AwayKolesnik10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolesnik leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHryhorievn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKolesnik100%10 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryhoriev0Kolesnik10n = 10Kolesnik took 10 of 10
S2Hryhoriev1Kolesnik9n = 10Kolesnik took 9 of 10
S3Hryhoriev3Kolesnik7n = 10Kolesnik took 7 of 10
S4Hryhoriev2Kolesnik2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricHryhorievKolesnikH − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match28.638.0−9.4per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorievKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 254 vs 182 / 32548%56%122 / 254 vs 182 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnikHryhoriev 4.33/Kolesnik 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.8%
Kolesnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev—9970P. Kolesnik—1111113
LJul 3 · 13:00R. Hryhoriev—391111102P. Kolesnik—111187123
LApr 16 · 17:29R. Hryhoriev—991171P. Kolesnik—11117113
LApr 16 · 16:30R. Hryhoriev—4670P. Kolesnik—1111113
LMar 17 · 18:09R. Hryhoriev—9590P. Kolesnik—1111113
LMar 17 · 15:30R. Hryhoriev—24100P. Kolesnik—1111123
LDec 18 · 17:00R. Hryhoriev—711681P. Kolesnik—11811103
LNov 12 · 17:00R. Hryhoriev—6660P. Kolesnik—1111113
LNov 5 · 13:30R. Hryhoriev—610111392P. Kolesnik—1112611113
LOct 17 · 16:30R. Hryhoriev—10970P. Kolesnik—1211113
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev1.911211116123I. Dubinin1.80148811102WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.5057111182P. Kolesnik1.28111158113WAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.