TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055571
Played Sep 1Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14129115111311711
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–2Last 3Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNikita Priadko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 104 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Nikita Priadko at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:16What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kolesnik 80% vs Priadko 33%
Kolesnik
Wrong
47pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnik 60% vs Priadko 33%
Kolesnik
Wrong
27pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnik -1 · Priadko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (33%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 2.10 / Priadko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Priadko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055571
Kolesnik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 18 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Priadko1.67
33%won 1 of 3 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 1 of 3
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 328 vs 6 / 1056.1%60%184 / 328 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PriadkoKolesnik 2.10/Priadko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Priadko won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.5057111182P. Kolesnik1.28111158113WSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790
N. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091LSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770
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