TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055183
Played Sep 1Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511711115118811
Petr Kolesnik
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timePetr Kolesnik to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Petr Kolesnik at 77.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 9–35 Petr Kolesnik Mykola Pohorilyi has won 9 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kolesnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-35 in 44
Kolesnik
Correct
gap of 26 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1376 vs Kolesnik 1558
Kolesnik
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 0% vs Kolesnik 60%
Kolesnik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 10% vs Kolesnik 60%
Kolesnik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi -5 · Kolesnik +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kolesnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 3.50 / Kolesnik 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 78%
Edge (Kolesnik)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055183
Pohorilyi3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog22% won 19 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back4% 2 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Kolesnik1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 91 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it86% 70 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi1wins
AwayKolesnik9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolesnik leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayKolesnik100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi3Kolesnik7n = 10Kolesnik took 7 of 10
S2Pohorilyi3Kolesnik7n = 10Kolesnik took 7 of 10
S3Pohorilyi3Kolesnik7n = 10Kolesnik took 7 of 10
S4Pohorilyi1Kolesnik6n = 7Kolesnik took 6 of 7
S5Pohorilyi1Kolesnik2n = 3Kolesnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiKolesnikP − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.141.2−6.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 615 vs 183 / 32656.8%56.1%349 / 615 vs 183 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnikPohorilyi 3.50/Kolesnik 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Kolesnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 09:00M. Pohorilyi—6790P. Kolesnik—1111113
LAug 27 · 10:28M. Pohorilyi—12820P. Kolesnik—1411113
LAug 27 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi—9111191P. Kolesnik—11613113
LAug 26 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—121111792P. Kolesnik—1013911113
LAug 21 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi—41171172P. Kolesnik—118116113
LAug 20 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—10101191P. Kolesnik—12128113
LAug 13 · 17:34M. Pohorilyi—10390P. Kolesnik—1211113
LAug 13 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—311881P. Kolesnik—11811113
LJul 23 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi—1110691P. Kolesnik—81211113
WJul 22 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—1110116113P. Kolesnik—61291132
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790
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