TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061064
Played Sep 2Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112108111141210
Petr Kolesnik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSergii Sideltsev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Sergii Sideltsev at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 4–2 Petr Kolesnik Petr Kolesnik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:33What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolesnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Sideltsev
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sideltsev 1526 vs Kolesnik 1525
Sideltsev
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sideltsev 60% vs Kolesnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sideltsev 60% vs Kolesnik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sideltsev +2 · Kolesnik +3
Kolesnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolesnik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 2.00 / Kolesnik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolesnik)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13061064
Sideltsev2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Kolesnik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite66% won 88 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it84% 69 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSideltsev4wins
AwayKolesnik2wins
Sideltsev leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSideltsev100%4 of 4
AwayKolesnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sideltsev4Kolesnik2n = 6Sideltsev took 4 of 6
S2Sideltsev4Kolesnik2n = 6Sideltsev took 4 of 6
S3Sideltsev2Kolesnik4n = 6Kolesnik took 4 of 6
S4Sideltsev3Kolesnik1n = 4Sideltsev took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSideltsevKolesnikS − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match35.332.7+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 401 vs 187 / 33358.6%56.2%235 / 401 vs 187 / 333Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnikSideltsev 2.00/Kolesnik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolesnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 28 · 07:00S. Sideltsev—111114113P. Kolesnik—261691
WJul 23 · 10:49S. Sideltsev—11119123P. Kolesnik—1411101
LJul 23 · 08:00S. Sideltsev—961131P. Kolesnik—11115113
WJul 11 · 09:30S. Sideltsev—111511123P. Kolesnik—91313101
LApr 17 · 08:00S. Sideltsev—4430P. Kolesnik—1111113
WDec 19 · 10:30S. Sideltsev—1111113P. Kolesnik—6960
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.5057111182P. Kolesnik1.28111158113WSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790
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