TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060624
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–3Last 6Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNikita Priadko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Nikita Priadko at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kolesnik 1–1 Nikita Priadko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolesnik 1491 vs Priadko 1217
Kolesnik
Correct
both rated, 275 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnik 40% vs Priadko 60%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnik 50% vs Priadko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnik +1 · Priadko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 2.10 / Priadko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Priadko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13060624
Kolesnik2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog30% won 19 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Priadko1.67
50%won 3 of 6 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 2 of 6
As favourite33% won 4 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKolesnik1wins
AwayPriadko1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKolesnikPriadkoK − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.539.0+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 335 vs 4 / 1455.8%28.6%187 / 335 vs 4 / 14Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.833.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoKolesnik 2.10/Priadko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik—1111113N. Priadko—8770
LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik—14951372N. Priadko—12111111113
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.5057111182P. Kolesnik1.28111158113WSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790
N. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113
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