TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13035054
Played Aug 28Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117119––––
Maksym Denysenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Maksym Denysenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 51 set 3, 11-9
51 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Petr Kolesnik 5–4 Maksym Denysenko Maksym Denysenko has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Denysenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Denysenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 2.20 / Denysenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Denysenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13035054
Kolesnik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 17 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Denysenko1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 19 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolesnik5wins
AwayDenysenko4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderKolesnik leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnik60%3 of 5
AwayDenysenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnik5Denysenko4n = 9Kolesnik took 5 of 9
S2Kolesnik4Denysenko5n = 9Denysenko took 5 of 9
S3Kolesnik2Denysenko7n = 9Denysenko took 7 of 9
S4Kolesnik4Denysenko3n = 7Kolesnik took 4 of 7
S5Kolesnik3Denysenko1n = 4Kolesnik took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolesnikDenysenkoK − DBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match41.740.3+1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikDenysenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 324 vs 39 / 7655.9%51.3%181 / 324 vs 39 / 76Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DenysenkoKolesnik 2.20/Denysenko 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Denysenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 28 · 08:00P. Kolesnik—1110991M. Denysenko—81211113
LAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik—91170M. Denysenko—1113113
WAug 26 · 15:00P. Kolesnik—131411163M. Denysenko—15127141
WAug 21 · 05:00P. Kolesnik—11511113M. Denysenko—411491
LAug 20 · 16:30P. Kolesnik—11114972M. Denysenko—761111113
WAug 14 · 12:00P. Kolesnik—1111911113M. Denysenko—71311582
LAug 13 · 15:30P. Kolesnik—3980M. Denysenko—1111113
WJul 16 · 07:30P. Kolesnik—914511113M. Denysenko—111211742
WJul 15 · 16:30P. Kolesnik—1111712113M. Denysenko—48111452
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.5057111182P. Kolesnik1.28111158113WSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113
M. Denysenko10
WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113WAug 28 · 08:00M. Denysenko1.6181211113P. Kolesnik2.201110991LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113WAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191WAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113WAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Denysenko1.83119581O. Torianyk1.8371111113WAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik1.9191170M. Denysenko1.801113113WAug 27 · 05:30M. Denysenko1.53115114153M. Pohorilyi2.38811511132WAug 26 · 17:43M. Denysenko1.57111111113M. Pohorilyi2.25134661
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