TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031421
Played Aug 28Finished
Maksym Denysenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210119119––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:44 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Denysenko to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Denysenko above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Denysenko at 56.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Denysenko 3–5 Petr Kolesnik Maksym Denysenko has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:44What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Denysenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Kolesnik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Denysenko 1640 vs Kolesnik 1531
Denysenko
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Denysenko 60% vs Kolesnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Denysenko 60% vs Kolesnik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Denysenko -1 · Kolesnik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Denysenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDenysenko 1.61 / Kolesnik 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Denysenko)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031421
Denysenko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 19 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Kolesnik2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 17 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDenysenko3wins
AwayKolesnik5wins
4 of 8 to a deciderKolesnik leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDenysenko50%2 of 4
AwayKolesnik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Denysenko4Kolesnik4n = 8split evenly
S2Denysenko4Kolesnik4n = 8split evenly
S3Denysenko6Kolesnik2n = 8Denysenko took 6 of 8
S4Denysenko2Kolesnik4n = 6Kolesnik took 4 of 6
S5Denysenko1Kolesnik3n = 4Kolesnik took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricDenysenkoKolesnikD − KBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.142.0−1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDenysenkoKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 74 vs 180 / 32250%55.9%37 / 74 vs 180 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DenysenkoDenysenko 1.61/Kolesnik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Denysenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Denysenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 27 · 06:30M. Denysenko—1113113P. Kolesnik—91170
LAug 26 · 15:00M. Denysenko—15127141P. Kolesnik—131411163
LAug 21 · 05:00M. Denysenko—411491P. Kolesnik—11511113
WAug 20 · 16:30M. Denysenko—761111113P. Kolesnik—11114972
LAug 14 · 12:00M. Denysenko—71311582P. Kolesnik—1111911113
WAug 13 · 15:30M. Denysenko—1111113P. Kolesnik—3980
LJul 16 · 07:30M. Denysenko—111211742P. Kolesnik—914511113
LJul 15 · 16:30M. Denysenko—48111452P. Kolesnik—1111712113
M. Denysenko10
LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113WAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191WAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113WAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Denysenko1.83119581O. Torianyk1.8371111113WAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik1.9191170M. Denysenko1.801113113WAug 27 · 05:30M. Denysenko1.53115114153M. Pohorilyi2.38811511132WAug 26 · 17:43M. Denysenko1.57111111113M. Pohorilyi2.25134661
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790LAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik1.9191170M. Denysenko1.801113113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.