TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031465
Played Aug 28Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119911711––
Maksym Denysenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:45 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Denysenko to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Maksym Denysenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Denysenko at 65.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 0–2 Maksym Denysenko Sergii Sideltsev has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Denysenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sideltsev 1523 vs Denysenko 1648
Denysenko
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sideltsev 100% vs Denysenko 80%
Sideltsev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sideltsev 80% vs Denysenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sideltsev +5 · Denysenko +1
Sideltsev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Denysenko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sideltsev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 3.25 / Denysenko 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Denysenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13031465
Sideltsev3.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 25 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Denysenko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 19 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSideltsev0wins
AwayDenysenko2wins
Denysenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSideltsevDenysenkoS − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.043.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevDenysenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 391 vs 38 / 7558.6%50.7%229 / 391 vs 38 / 75Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DenysenkoSideltsev 3.25/Denysenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.7%
Denysenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Denysenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 1 · 10:09S. Sideltsev—1171141M. Denysenko—13119113
LAug 1 · 08:30S. Sideltsev—1168101M. Denysenko—81111123
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112
M. Denysenko10
LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790WAug 28 · 08:00M. Denysenko1.6181211113P. Kolesnik2.201110991LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113WAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191WAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113WAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Denysenko1.83119581O. Torianyk1.8371111113WAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik1.9191170M. Denysenko1.801113113WAug 27 · 05:30M. Denysenko1.53115114153M. Pohorilyi2.38811511132WAug 26 · 17:43M. Denysenko1.57111111113M. Pohorilyi2.25134661
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