TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022548
Played Aug 27Finished
Maksym Denysenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911511811––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Denysenko above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Denysenko 7–10 Oleh Torianyk Maksym Denysenko has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:45What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Torianyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Denysenko 1637 vs Torianyk 1605
Denysenko
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Denysenko 60% vs Torianyk 40%
Denysenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Denysenko 60% vs Torianyk 30%
Denysenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Denysenko +3 · Torianyk +2
Denysenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDenysenko 1.83 / Torianyk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Torianyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022548
Denysenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Torianyk1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDenysenko4wins
AwayTorianyk6wins
Torianyk leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDenysenko57.1%4 of 7
AwayTorianyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Denysenko7Torianyk3n = 10Denysenko took 7 of 10
S2Denysenko4Torianyk6n = 10Torianyk took 6 of 10
S3Denysenko5Torianyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Denysenko1Torianyk5n = 6Torianyk took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDenysenkoTorianykD − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match32.333.2−0.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDenysenkoTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 77 vs 280 / 50950.7%55%39 / 77 vs 280 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykDenysenko 1.83/Torianyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko—113881O. Torianyk—61111113
WAug 27 · 09:58M. Denysenko—1111113O. Torianyk—8590
LAug 27 · 07:30M. Denysenko—119581O. Torianyk—71111113
WAug 26 · 12:00M. Denysenko—1611113O. Torianyk—14940
WAug 21 · 06:00M. Denysenko—1111113O. Torianyk—4930
WAug 20 · 17:38M. Denysenko—11611113O. Torianyk—911691
LAug 20 · 13:30M. Denysenko—9780O. Torianyk—1111113
LAug 15 · 07:30M. Denysenko—118551O. Torianyk—81111113
LAug 14 · 14:30M. Denysenko—661141O. Torianyk—11117113
LAug 8 · 05:00M. Denysenko—8118101O. Torianyk—11511123
M. Denysenko10
LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113WAug 28 · 08:00M. Denysenko1.6181211113P. Kolesnik2.201110991LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113WAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191WAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113WAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113WAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik1.9191170M. Denysenko1.801113113WAug 27 · 05:30M. Denysenko1.53115114153M. Pohorilyi2.38811511132WAug 26 · 17:43M. Denysenko1.57111111113M. Pohorilyi2.25134661
O. Torianyk10
WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990WAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113LAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113
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