TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073255
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleh Torianyk
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119119––––
Viacheslav Simchuk
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Viacheslav Simchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 73.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 5–1 Viacheslav Simchuk Viacheslav Simchuk has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Torianyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1622 vs Simchuk 1386
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 237 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 60% vs Simchuk 40%
Torianyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 70% vs Simchuk 50%
Torianyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk +2 · Simchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Torianyk) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simchuk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 1.30 / Simchuk 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Torianyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073255
Torianyk1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 103 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it97% 60 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it86% 78 of 91
Simchuk3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 26 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTorianyk5wins
AwaySimchuk1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderTorianyk leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorianyk100%5 of 5
AwaySimchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torianyk5Simchuk1n = 6Torianyk took 5 of 6
S2Torianyk5Simchuk1n = 6Torianyk took 5 of 6
S3Torianyk3Simchuk3n = 6split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricTorianykSimchukT − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match37.230.2+7.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykSimchukBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 507 vs 275 / 44855.2%61.4%280 / 507 vs 275 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykTorianyk 1.30/Simchuk 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WMay 13 · 09:58O. Torianyk—11116113V. Simchuk—881181
WMay 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk—1111129113V. Simchuk—74141182
WMay 7 · 07:30O. Torianyk—1111113V. Simchuk—2590
LMar 31 · 09:58O. Torianyk—10980V. Simchuk—1211113
WMar 31 · 05:30O. Torianyk—1311113V. Simchuk—11980
WFeb 6 · 10:00O. Torianyk—1212113V. Simchuk—101040
O. Torianyk10
WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113WSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172LAug 28 · 10:38O. Torianyk1.7391113132S. Sideltsev2.001161111113
V. Simchuk10
LSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470LSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113LAug 30 · 17:14S. Sideltsev1.101411103V. Simchuk6.5012780WAug 30 · 15:30I. Sorochan1.834980V. Simchuk1.831111113LAug 30 · 14:30V. Simchuk1.2865111192Y. Zvolynskyi3.50111178103WAug 30 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.20111111942V. Simchuk1.61513811113LAug 30 · 12:30V. Simchuk2.25591131S. Sideltsev1.5711115113WAug 24 · 17:28I. Dubinin2.2011137492V. Simchuk1.616111111113
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