TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044076
Played Aug 30Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911811––––
Viacheslav Simchuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Viacheslav Simchuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 16–10 Viacheslav Simchuk Viacheslav Simchuk has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:05What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Simchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Sorochan
Wrong
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1363 vs Simchuk 1388
Simchuk
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 40% vs Simchuk 60%
Simchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 50% vs Simchuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan -1 · Simchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sorochan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.83 / Simchuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sorochan)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13044076
Sorochan1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Simchuk1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan5wins
AwaySimchuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan100%3 of 3
AwaySimchuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan3Simchuk7n = 10Simchuk took 7 of 10
S2Sorochan6Simchuk4n = 10Sorochan took 6 of 10
S3Sorochan4Simchuk6n = 10Simchuk took 6 of 10
S4Sorochan3Simchuk3n = 6split evenly
S5Sorochan3Simchuk1n = 4Sorochan took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanSimchukSorochan − SimchukBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.036.1−0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanSimchukBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 456 vs 277 / 45357.7%61.2%263 / 456 vs 277 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.83/Simchuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Simchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 13:30I. Sorochan—1111113V. Simchuk—6460
WAug 18 · 07:00I. Sorochan—1111117113V. Simchuk—61381172
LAug 12 · 08:30I. Sorochan—131250V. Simchuk—1514113
WAug 11 · 09:00I. Sorochan—1111113V. Simchuk—8740
LJul 19 · 05:30I. Sorochan—81151282V. Simchuk—1151110113
LJun 12 · 10:28I. Sorochan—611881V. Simchuk—11911113
WJun 12 · 06:30I. Sorochan—781111113V. Simchuk—11117452
WJun 1 · 10:28I. Sorochan—411511113V. Simchuk—11311982
LJun 1 · 08:30I. Sorochan—1011271V. Simchuk—12411113
LApr 24 · 09:59I. Sorochan—7720V. Simchuk—1111113
I. Sorochan10
LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672LSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113WSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113
V. Simchuk10
LSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470LSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990LSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113LAug 30 · 17:14S. Sideltsev1.101411103V. Simchuk6.5012780LAug 30 · 14:30V. Simchuk1.2865111192Y. Zvolynskyi3.50111178103WAug 30 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.20111111942V. Simchuk1.61513811113LAug 30 · 12:30V. Simchuk2.25591131S. Sideltsev1.5711115113WAug 24 · 17:28I. Dubinin2.2011137492V. Simchuk1.616111111113
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