TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005291
Played Aug 24Finished
Ihor Dubinin
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161311711411911
Viacheslav Simchuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingIhor Dubinin above · Viacheslav Simchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11
94 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Dubinin 8–5 Viacheslav Simchuk Viacheslav Simchuk has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Simchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDubinin 2.20 / Simchuk 1.61
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Simchuk)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005291
Dubinin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 36 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Simchuk1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 109 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDubinin5wins
AwaySimchuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDubinin80%4 of 5
AwaySimchuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dubinin5Simchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Dubinin3Simchuk7n = 10Simchuk took 7 of 10
S3Dubinin3Simchuk7n = 10Simchuk took 7 of 10
S4Dubinin6Simchuk0n = 6Dubinin took 6 of 6
S5Dubinin2Simchuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDubininSimchukD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.3−2.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDubininSimchukBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 444 vs 283 / 45951.4%61.7%228 / 444 vs 283 / 459Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimchukDubinin 2.20/Simchuk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Simchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Simchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 12:00I. Dubinin—11811123V. Simchuk—6118101
LAug 17 · 13:30I. Dubinin—81070V. Simchuk—1112113
LAug 6 · 17:08I. Dubinin—7370V. Simchuk—1111113
LAug 6 · 16:00I. Dubinin—5970V. Simchuk—1111113
WJul 17 · 16:59I. Dubinin—1414123V. Simchuk—1212100
WJul 17 · 14:30I. Dubinin—61111113V. Simchuk—115791
LJun 25 · 17:33I. Dubinin—11391292V. Simchuk—6111110113
WJun 25 · 12:00I. Dubinin—114911143V. Simchuk—911119122
LJun 18 · 16:30I. Dubinin—91191152V. Simchuk—119119113
WApr 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin—1311811113V. Simchuk—111311782
I. Dubinin10
LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113LSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113WSep 1 · 17:38N. Priadko1.80691181I. Dubinin1.9111118113LSep 1 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.4071711113I. Dubinin2.751115781WSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160WSep 1 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.38124411113N. Priadko1.53101111592WAug 30 · 17:33Y. Zvolynskyi3.25118991I. Dubinin1.3391111113
V. Simchuk10
LSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470LSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990LSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113LAug 30 · 17:14S. Sideltsev1.101411103V. Simchuk6.5012780WAug 30 · 15:30I. Sorochan1.834980V. Simchuk1.831111113LAug 30 · 14:30V. Simchuk1.2865111192Y. Zvolynskyi3.50111178103WAug 30 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.20111111942V. Simchuk1.61513811113LAug 30 · 12:30V. Simchuk2.25591131S. Sideltsev1.5711115113
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