TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079217
Played Sep 5Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811911––––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 69.4% is still 69.4%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
69.4%
69.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 69.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Priadko 0–1 Oleh Torianyk Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1186 vs Torianyk 1633
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 447 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 20% vs Torianyk 60%
Torianyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 20% vs Torianyk 60%
Torianyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -2 · Torianyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Torianyk) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 3.25 / Torianyk 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Torianyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079217
Priadko3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Torianyk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 110 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it85% 83 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePriadko0wins
AwayTorianyk1wins
Torianyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPriadkoTorianykP − TBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match27.034.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 18 vs 281 / 50622.2%55.5%4 / 18 vs 281 / 506Avg sets wonper match1.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match31.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykPriadko 3.25/Torianyk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko—10890O. Torianyk—1211113
N. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091LSep 2 · 08:30S. Sideltsev1.911111113N. Priadko1.803830LSep 2 · 07:30N. Priadko1.537119121M. Pohorilyi2.3811211143
O. Torianyk10
WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990WSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113WSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172LAug 28 · 10:38O. Torianyk1.7391113132S. Sideltsev2.001161111113
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