TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060581
Played Sep 2Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–4Last 7Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111129111214––
Mykola Pohorilyi
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeNikita Priadko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Mykola Pohorilyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 77 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Nikita Priadko at 60.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Priadko 1–2 Mykola Pohorilyi Nikita Priadko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:56What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1217 vs Pohorilyi 1429
Pohorilyi
Correct
both rated, 212 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Pohorilyi 80%
Pohorilyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 43% vs Pohorilyi 40%
—
Too close
3pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -1 · Pohorilyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohorilyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.53 / Pohorilyi 2.38
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Priadko)-5.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13060581
Priadko1.53
43%won 3 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
29%takes the first set · 2 of 7
As favourite33% won 4 of 12
Pohorilyi2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 22 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back5% 3 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePriadko1wins
AwayPohorilyi2wins
Pohorilyi leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko1Pohorilyi2n = 3Pohorilyi took 2 of 3
S2Priadko3Pohorilyi0n = 3Priadko took 3 of 3
S3Priadko0Pohorilyi3n = 3Pohorilyi took 3 of 3
S4Priadko1Pohorilyi2n = 3Pohorilyi took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPriadkoPohorilyiPriadko − PohorilyiBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.338.3−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoPohorilyiBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 14 vs 346 / 61028.6%56.7%4 / 14 vs 346 / 610Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.53/Pohorilyi 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.6%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 2 · 10:18N. Priadko—4111091M. Pohorilyi—11712113
LSep 2 · 07:30N. Priadko—7119121M. Pohorilyi—11211143
WSep 1 · 13:00N. Priadko—11116113M. Pohorilyi—891181
N. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091LSep 2 · 08:30S. Sideltsev1.911111113N. Priadko1.803830
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091
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