TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067672
Played Sep 3Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119911119––
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNikita Priadko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Nikita Priadko at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:40What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1218 vs Priadko 1250
Priadko
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 20% vs Priadko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 40% vs Priadko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov -4 · Priadko -1
Sveshnykov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 2.38 / Priadko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Priadko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067672
Sveshnykov2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Priadko1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite30% won 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 265 vs 4 / 1338.5%30.8%102 / 265 vs 4 / 13Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.833.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoSveshnykov 2.38/Priadko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sveshnykov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420
N. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091LSep 2 · 08:30S. Sideltsev1.911111113N. Priadko1.803830LSep 2 · 07:30N. Priadko1.537119121M. Pohorilyi2.3811211143
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