TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060639
Played Sep 2Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113118113––––
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–5Last 8Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNikita Priadko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 47 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Nikita Priadko at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 1–0 Nikita Priadko Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:04What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sideltsev 1526 vs Priadko 1290
Sideltsev
Correct
both rated, 236 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sideltsev 40% vs Priadko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sideltsev 60% vs Priadko 38%
Sideltsev
Correct
23pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sideltsev +1 · Priadko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 1.91 / Priadko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Priadko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060639
Sideltsev1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Priadko1.80
38%won 3 of 8 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest25%takes the first set · 2 of 8
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSideltsev1wins
AwayPriadko0wins
Sideltsev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSideltsevPriadkoS − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.014.0+19.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 401 vs 3 / 958.6%33.3%235 / 401 vs 3 / 9Avg sets wonper match2.21.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.733.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoSideltsev 1.91/Priadko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 08:30S. Sideltsev—1111113N. Priadko—3830
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112
N. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091LSep 2 · 07:30N. Priadko1.537119121M. Pohorilyi2.3811211143
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