Maksym Denysenko vs Mykola Pohorilyi 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13022491

Played Aug 26Finished

Maksym Denysenko

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1113114116116––

Mykola Pohorilyi

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMaksym Denysenko above · Mykola Pohorilyi below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 73 set 4, 11-6

73 points played in total.

H2H Maksym Denysenko 2–3 Mykola Pohorilyi Maksym Denysenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 2–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Denysenko)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pohorilyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDenysenko 1.57 / Pohorilyi 2.25

Signal prob.61% / 39%

Edge (Denysenko)+2.4pp

Setka Cup · #13022491

Denysenko1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite64% won 16 of 25

Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13

Pohorilyi2.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog24% won 19 of 81

Down 0–1, comes back6% 3 of 51

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 37

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeDenysenko2wins

AwayPohorilyi3wins

2 of 5 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDenysenkon = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayPohorilyi75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Denysenko1Pohorilyi4n = 5Pohorilyi took 4 of 5

S2Denysenko3Pohorilyi2n = 5Denysenko took 3 of 5

S3Denysenko4Pohorilyi1n = 5Denysenko took 4 of 5

S4Denysenko3Pohorilyi2n = 5Denysenko took 3 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home240%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away240%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricDenysenkoPohorilyiD − PBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match44.239.4+4.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDenysenkoPohorilyiBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 67 vs 350 / 61047.8%57.4%32 / 67 vs 350 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Denysenko

Denysenko 1.57/Pohorilyi 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.3%

Denysenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Denysenko won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

WAug 26 · 17:43M. Denysenko—111111113M. Pohorilyi—134661

LAug 26 · 16:30M. Denysenko—12118101M. Pohorilyi—14811123

LAug 21 · 09:00M. Denysenko—98111192M. Pohorilyi—111149113

WAug 20 · 15:00M. Denysenko—11811113M. Pohorilyi—711541

LAug 13 · 13:30M. Denysenko—101112952M. Pohorilyi—1261011113

M. Denysenko10

LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790 WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113 WAug 28 · 08:00M. Denysenko1.6181211113P. Kolesnik2.201110991 LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113 WAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191 WAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113 WAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113 LAug 27 · 07:30M. Denysenko1.83119581O. Torianyk1.8371111113 WAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik1.9191170M. Denysenko1.801113113 WAug 27 · 05:30M. Denysenko1.53115114153M. Pohorilyi2.38811511132

M. Pohorilyi10

LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123 WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113 WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141 LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660 WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160 LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590 WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162 WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561 LAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191 LAug 27 · 05:30M. Denysenko1.53115114153M. Pohorilyi2.38811511132

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