TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022588
Played Aug 27Finished
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711711––––
Maksym Denysenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Denysenko to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Shulhachyk above · Maksym Denysenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Denysenko at 71.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Shulhachyk 0–2 Maksym Denysenko Pavlo Shulhachyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:46What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Denysenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Shulhachyk 1402 vs Denysenko 1606
Denysenko
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shulhachyk 60% vs Denysenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shulhachyk 60% vs Denysenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shulhachyk -2 · Denysenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Denysenko) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Denysenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShulhachyk 3.25 / Denysenko 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Denysenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13022588
Shulhachyk3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 18 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Denysenko1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 16 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeShulhachyk0wins
AwayDenysenko2wins
Denysenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricShulhachykDenysenkoS − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match21.036.5−15.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShulhachykDenysenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 307 vs 34 / 7059.9%48.6%184 / 307 vs 34 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DenysenkoShulhachyk 3.25/Denysenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Denysenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Denysenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 1 · 05:30P. Shulhachyk—114901M. Denysenko—71111113
LJul 16 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk—8910M. Denysenko—1111113
P. Shulhachyk10
LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk1.7381116542M. Pohorilyi2.001161411113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk3.259125101O. Torianyk1.33111011123WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.001041181P. Shulhachyk1.3612119113LAug 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.1011119113P. Shulhachyk1.67991191WAug 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.73815231P. Shulhachyk2.00111311113WAug 11 · 09:59I. Sorochan2.008350P. Shulhachyk1.731111113WAug 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111511852P. Shulhachyk1.571313911113
M. Denysenko10
LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113WAug 28 · 08:00M. Denysenko1.6181211113P. Kolesnik2.201110991LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113WAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191WAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Denysenko1.83119581O. Torianyk1.8371111113WAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik1.9191170M. Denysenko1.801113113WAug 27 · 05:30M. Denysenko1.53115114153M. Pohorilyi2.38811511132WAug 26 · 17:43M. Denysenko1.57111111113M. Pohorilyi2.25134661
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