TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451140
Played Aug 18Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111513211311––
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:58 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeMykola Pohorilyi to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Pavlo Shulhachyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 74 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Mykola Pohorilyi at 60.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 21–21 Pavlo Shulhachyk Dead even across their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:58What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pohorilyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-21 in 42
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1518 vs Shulhachyk 1370
Pohorilyi
Wrong
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 80% vs Shulhachyk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 60% vs Shulhachyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi +2 · Shulhachyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pohorilyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shulhachyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 1.73 / Shulhachyk 2.00
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451140
Pohorilyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 125 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it86% 100 of 116
Shulhachyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 19 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi6wins
AwayShulhachyk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi60%3 of 5
AwayShulhachyk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi5Shulhachyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Pohorilyi3Shulhachyk7n = 10Shulhachyk took 7 of 10
S3Pohorilyi6Shulhachyk4n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S4Pohorilyi7Shulhachyk2n = 9Pohorilyi took 7 of 9
S5Pohorilyi2Shulhachyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiShulhachykP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.9+2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiShulhachykBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 613 vs 191 / 31858.4%60.1%358 / 613 vs 191 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiPohorilyi 1.73/Shulhachyk 2.00
Miss
What we said
60.7%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shulhachyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi—791151P. Shulhachyk—11117113
WAug 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi—11611113P. Shulhachyk—611851
WAug 6 · 13:30M. Pohorilyi—81111113P. Shulhachyk—116731
WAug 4 · 14:30M. Pohorilyi—11913113P. Shulhachyk—6111141
LJul 29 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi—11811952P. Shulhachyk—511311113
WJul 28 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—611711113P. Shulhachyk—11511662
LJul 23 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi—2880P. Shulhachyk—1111113
LJul 22 · 17:28M. Pohorilyi—111091162P. Shulhachyk—712118113
WJul 22 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi—511516113P. Shulhachyk—119111472
WJul 18 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi—111111113P. Shulhachyk—913591
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722
P. Shulhachyk10
LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk1.7381116542M. Pohorilyi2.001161411113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk3.259125101O. Torianyk1.33111011123WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.001041181P. Shulhachyk1.3612119113LAug 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.1011119113P. Shulhachyk1.67991191WAug 11 · 09:59I. Sorochan2.008350P. Shulhachyk1.731111113WAug 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111511852P. Shulhachyk1.571313911113
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