TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451187
Played Aug 18Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119911119––
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Pavlo Shulhachyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 19–15 Pavlo Shulhachyk Pavlo Shulhachyk has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:56What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Shulhachyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Sorochan
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1366 vs Shulhachyk 1418
Shulhachyk
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 60% vs Shulhachyk 80%
Shulhachyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 70% vs Shulhachyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan +1 · Shulhachyk +3
Shulhachyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Shulhachyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shulhachyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 2.10 / Shulhachyk 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Shulhachyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451187
Sorochan2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Shulhachyk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 58 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan6wins
AwayShulhachyk4wins
Sorochan leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan83.3%5 of 6
AwayShulhachyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan6Shulhachyk4n = 10Sorochan took 6 of 10
S2Sorochan5Shulhachyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Sorochan4Shulhachyk6n = 10Shulhachyk took 6 of 10
S4Sorochan4Shulhachyk1n = 5Sorochan took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanShulhachykSorochan − ShulhachykBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.833.8+1.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanShulhachykBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 468 vs 190 / 31859%59.8%276 / 468 vs 190 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShulhachykSorochan 2.10/Shulhachyk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Shulhachyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan—11119113P. Shulhachyk—991191
LAug 11 · 09:59I. Sorochan—8350P. Shulhachyk—1111113
WAug 11 · 07:30I. Sorochan—131112113P. Shulhachyk—1181481
WAug 10 · 14:30I. Sorochan—41111113P. Shulhachyk—118961
LJul 12 · 08:30I. Sorochan—1110881P. Shulhachyk—31211113
LJun 11 · 10:39I. Sorochan—98100P. Shulhachyk—1111123
WJun 11 · 06:30I. Sorochan—1111113P. Shulhachyk—4780
WJun 10 · 08:30I. Sorochan—11711113P. Shulhachyk—911851
LApr 3 · 10:28I. Sorochan—77110P. Shulhachyk—1111133
WApr 3 · 06:30I. Sorochan—1122113P. Shulhachyk—82060
I. Sorochan10
LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672LSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113WSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113
P. Shulhachyk10
LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk1.7381116542M. Pohorilyi2.001161411113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk3.259125101O. Torianyk1.33111011123WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.001041181P. Shulhachyk1.3612119113WAug 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.73815231P. Shulhachyk2.00111311113WAug 11 · 09:59I. Sorochan2.008350P. Shulhachyk1.731111113WAug 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111511852P. Shulhachyk1.571313911113
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