TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022767
Played Aug 27Finished
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111161614511411
Mykola Pohorilyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Shulhachyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Shulhachyk above · Mykola Pohorilyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 97 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Pavlo Shulhachyk at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Shulhachyk 23–22 Mykola Pohorilyi Mykola Pohorilyi has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shulhachyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-22 in 45
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shulhachyk 1386 vs Pohorilyi 1390
Pohorilyi
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shulhachyk 60% vs Pohorilyi 20%
Shulhachyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shulhachyk 70% vs Pohorilyi 30%
Shulhachyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shulhachyk -1 · Pohorilyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shulhachyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohorilyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShulhachyk 1.73 / Pohorilyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Shulhachyk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13022767
Shulhachyk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Pohorilyi2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog23% won 20 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back5% 3 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShulhachyk5wins
AwayPohorilyi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShulhachyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayPohorilyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shulhachyk6Pohorilyi4n = 10Shulhachyk took 6 of 10
S2Shulhachyk7Pohorilyi3n = 10Shulhachyk took 7 of 10
S3Shulhachyk5Pohorilyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Shulhachyk3Pohorilyi5n = 8Pohorilyi took 5 of 8
S5Shulhachyk1Pohorilyi2n = 3Pohorilyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShulhachykPohorilyiS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.535.8+0.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShulhachykPohorilyiBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 309 vs 350 / 61559.6%56.9%184 / 309 vs 350 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShulhachykShulhachyk 1.73/Pohorilyi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Shulhachyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk—81116542M. Pohorilyi—1161411113
WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk—1111113M. Pohorilyi—1840
WAug 18 · 05:00P. Shulhachyk—111311113M. Pohorilyi—815231
WAug 11 · 06:30P. Shulhachyk—11117113M. Pohorilyi—791151
LAug 10 · 13:00P. Shulhachyk—611851M. Pohorilyi—11611113
LAug 6 · 13:30P. Shulhachyk—116731M. Pohorilyi—81111113
LAug 4 · 14:30P. Shulhachyk—6111141M. Pohorilyi—11913113
WJul 29 · 05:00P. Shulhachyk—511311113M. Pohorilyi—11811952
LJul 28 · 15:30P. Shulhachyk—11511662M. Pohorilyi—611711113
WJul 23 · 07:30P. Shulhachyk—1111113M. Pohorilyi—2880
P. Shulhachyk10
LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk3.259125101O. Torianyk1.33111011123WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.001041181P. Shulhachyk1.3612119113LAug 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.1011119113P. Shulhachyk1.67991191WAug 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.73815231P. Shulhachyk2.00111311113WAug 11 · 09:59I. Sorochan2.008350P. Shulhachyk1.731111113WAug 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111511852P. Shulhachyk1.571313911113
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840LAug 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.73815231P. Shulhachyk2.00111311113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.