TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022512
Played Aug 27Finished
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91112105111012––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Shulhachyk above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 77.2%
80 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Shulhachyk 3–17 Oleh Torianyk Pavlo Shulhachyk has won 3 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-17 in 20
Torianyk
Correct
gap of 14 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shulhachyk 1386 vs Torianyk 1605
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 219 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shulhachyk 80% vs Torianyk 20%
Shulhachyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shulhachyk 80% vs Torianyk 30%
Shulhachyk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shulhachyk +3 · Torianyk +1
Shulhachyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShulhachyk 3.25 / Torianyk 1.33
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Torianyk)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13022512
Shulhachyk3.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 18 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Torianyk1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 108 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it85% 81 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShulhachyk2wins
AwayTorianyk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShulhachyk20%1 of 5
AwayTorianyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shulhachyk5Torianyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Shulhachyk4Torianyk6n = 10Torianyk took 6 of 10
S3Shulhachyk2Torianyk8n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S4Shulhachyk2Torianyk5n = 7Torianyk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShulhachykTorianykS − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.839.7−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShulhachykTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 309 vs 280 / 50859.6%55.1%184 / 309 vs 280 / 508Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykShulhachyk 3.25/Torianyk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk—9125101O. Torianyk—111011123
LAug 1 · 09:00P. Shulhachyk—611110O. Torianyk—1113133
LJul 16 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk—111341192O. Torianyk—4111113113
WJun 10 · 10:39P. Shulhachyk—61111133O. Torianyk—1165111
LJun 10 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk—6640O. Torianyk—1111113
WJun 9 · 16:00P. Shulhachyk—11911113O. Torianyk—911331
LMay 20 · 05:00P. Shulhachyk—127731O. Torianyk—101111113
LMar 12 · 10:58P. Shulhachyk—87120O. Torianyk—1111143
LMar 12 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk—121171092O. Torianyk—1091112113
LMar 4 · 15:30P. Shulhachyk—115791O. Torianyk—91111113
P. Shulhachyk10
LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk1.7381116542M. Pohorilyi2.001161411113WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.001041181P. Shulhachyk1.3612119113LAug 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.1011119113P. Shulhachyk1.67991191WAug 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.73815231P. Shulhachyk2.00111311113WAug 11 · 09:59I. Sorochan2.008350P. Shulhachyk1.731111113WAug 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111511852P. Shulhachyk1.571313911113
O. Torianyk10
WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990WSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113WSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172
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